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Long Range Winter 2010 2011 Outlooks - forums. accuweather. com A simple trendline shows that +QBO in 30mb (the traditional QBO region) would not happen until December, and +QBO in 50mb (supposedly the region that actually matters as far as blocking is concerned) would not happen until June A third trendline shows that the next -QBO phase would hit 50mb (if not 30mb) before the +QBO made it there
Long Range Winter 2010 2011 Outlooks - AccuWeather. com Forums Pretty much a testamant to how the -QBO over the summer paralyzed it and how the current +QBO has allowed for some freedom Weakened IOD and Walker Cell Circulation, more positive relative AAM, and slightly warmer SSTs will raise flags if they continue (as they did in October)
AccuWeather. com Forums (Read Only, Closing 12 31 2018) _ Current . . . For the 2008 hurricane season we had an west based QBO, this time around it looks like we will be dealing with a east phase QBO Each phase lasts about 28 month, which means sometime around this summer it will become less favorable