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Global LEI Report - The Conference Board About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for the global economy The composite indexes are the key elements in an early warning system to signal peaks and troughs in the global business cycle The CEI is a monthly metric that is highly correlated with real GDP
Global Leading Indicators - The Conference Board The Conference Board publishes leading, coincident, and lagging indexes designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle for major economies around the world Click the country region to view the full detail
US LEI Chartbook - The Conference Board The leading, coincident, and lagging indexes are designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle for major economies around the world
US LEI improving, but recession signal remains The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the United States continued to improve in August, but a recession signal derived from the index has continued to flash since March This signal, generated using the “3Ds” rule (depth, duration, and diffusion), is activated when certain criteria in the overall LEI and its many components are met A large decline (depth) in the six
LEI for India Increased in April - conference-board. org The LEI annual growth rate ticked up in April, turning more positive About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for India The composite economic indexes are key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle
LEI for the UK Continued to Fall in April - conference-board. org The next release is scheduled for Wednesday, July 16, 2025, at 9:30 A M ET The UK LEI continued its downward trend in April April’s decline in the UK LEI was driven primarily by weak housing sales expectations, consumer expectations, and lower stock prices The 6-month growth rate of the UK LEI has cooled but remained above the recession
News Release - conference-board. org “The US LEI fell again in February and continues to point to headwinds ahead,” said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, Senior Manager, Business Cycle Indicators, at The Conference Board “Consumers’ expectations of future business conditions turned more pessimistic That was the component that weighed down most heavily on the Index in February
LEI for China Decreased Again - conference-board. org “The China LEI decreased again in April,” said Malala Lin, Economic Research Associate, at The Conference Board “For at least 6 months, the month-on-month declines in the LEI have primarily been driven by persistent weakness in three components: consumer expectations, logistics prosperity index and new export orders in manufacturing
US LEI Technical Notes - conference-board. org The Conference Board LEI for the US decreased in January Negative contributions from average working hours in manufacturing and depressed consumer expectations more than offset the small positive contributions from initial unemployment claims, the interest rate spread, and the Leading Credit IndexTM
Description of Components - The Conference Board The Conference Board takes normalized value of this index as a measure of its contribution to LEI BCI-33 Manufacturers' new orders, non-defense capital goods excl aircraft (in 1982 $) This index, combing with orders from aircraft (in inflation-adjusted dollars) are the producers' counterpart to BCI-08