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US Leading Indicators - The Conference Board The LEI has fallen by 2 7% in the six-month period ending May 2025, a much faster rate of decline than the 1 4% contraction over the previous six months “The LEI for the US fell again in May, but only marginally,” said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, Senior Manager, Business Cycle Indicators, at The Conference Board
Global LEI Report - The Conference Board About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for the global economy The composite indexes are the key elements in an early warning system to signal peaks and troughs in the global business cycle The CEI is a monthly metric that is highly correlated with real GDP
LEI for the Euro Area Declined Again in May The 6-month growth rate of the Euro Area LEI was just above the recession threshold, but overall weakness in its components persisted and continue to warn of risks ahead NOTE: The chart illustrates the so-called 3Ds—duration, depth, and diffusion—for interpreting a downward movement in the LEI Duration refers to how long the decline has
LEI for the UK Continued to Fall in April - conference-board. org The 6-month growth rate of the UK LEI has cooled but remained above the recession threshold Overall, the LEI reading suggests that, after a stronger than expected first quarter, economic growth in the United Kingdom will likely moderate in the remainder of 2025 The Conference Board expects UK GDP to grow by 1 4% in 2025 after 1 1% in 2024 ”
LEI for Australia Increased in April - conference-board. org The LEI grew by 0 9% over the six-month period from October 2024 to April 2025, after being unchanged over the previous six-month period between April and October 2024 The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index ® (CEI) for Australia increased by 0 3% in April 2025 to 117 6 (2016=100), after ticking up by 0 1% in March
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US Plunged . . . Weakness across nearly all of the LEI’s ten components fueled April’s decline The LEI’s six-month growth rate declined further in April, but remained slightly above the recession signal threshold NOTE: The chart illustrates the so-called 3Ds—duration, depth, and diffusion—for interpreting a downward movement in the LEI
LEI for China Decreased Again - conference-board. org “The China LEI decreased again in April,” said Malala Lin, Economic Research Associate, at The Conference Board “For at least 6 months, the month-on-month declines in the LEI have primarily been driven by persistent weakness in three components: consumer expectations, logistics prosperity index and new export orders in manufacturing
The LEI for France Improved Again in April - conference-board. org “The France LEI improved again in April,” said Allen Li, Associate Economist at The Conference Board “A drop in new unemployment claims (on a 3-month moving average basis) supported the Index, along with an improvement in industrial new orders, a rise in building permits, the positive yield spread, and stronger production expectations